Cornhuskers open season in Lincoln against Hilltoppers
NCAA Football Betting Lines
09/01/2010 -
Lincoln, NE (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - In what figures to be a complete mismatch, the
eighth-ranked Nebraska Cornhuskers entertain the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
in the season opener for both programs this weekend at Memorial Stadium.
Nebraska begins its 121st season with high expectations after a strong showing
in 2009. In their second year under head coach Bo Pelini, the Huskers posted a
10-4 record and were just seconds away from winning a Big 12 Championship
before Texas stole a 13-12 victory in the league title game. Now in his third
year at Nebraska, Pelini has the program in great shape and ready to compete
for another conference title. However, this will be the program's last shot at
winning a Big 12 title, as the Huskers announced this offseason their plans to
move to the Big Ten in 2011.
As for the Hilltoppers, they are the newest team at the FBS level and it
showed in 2009. In their first full-fledged season as a FBS member, WKU went
winless at 0-12, and the program brings the nation's longest losing streak
into 2010 with 20 straight setbacks. Obviously a change was needed, as Willie
Taggart, a former standout quarterback at WKU, was brought in to turn the
program around. Taggart, who recently spent time as Stanford's running backs
coach, brings a winning attitude and a fresh start for the Toppers.
"I have always followed Western Kentucky University, ever since I was in
school here," said Taggart. "When I saw this opportunity, I knew this was the
opportunity of a lifetime."
This game marks the first-ever clash between WKU and Nebraska on the gridiron.
The Toppers previously ran a spread-option attack, but under Taggart, they are
now set to use a West Coast style of offense. The change is drastic and it
should help improve the unit in the long run. Kawaun Jakes was recently named
the starting quarterback by Taggart, as the sophomore beat out junior Matt
Pelesasa in the offseason.
"Kawaun did the things we were looking for to be the starting quarterback. He
was consistent, made plays and became a leader," stated Taggart.
In 11 appearances, eight starts last season, Jakes threw for 1,515 yards and
nine scores, while adding 366 yards and five more touchdowns on the ground.
The Toppers, though, have a relatively inexperienced group of wideouts and are
in need of someone to step up as the top option.
The team however, is settled at running back with the return of Bobby Rainey,
who rushed for 939 yard and six touchdowns as a sophomore last season. He
averaged 6.5 yards per carry and is clearly the best playmaker on this club.
WKU is also switching schemes on the defensive side of the ball, going from a
3-4 to a 4-3 under first-year coordinator Clint Bowen. A change is certainly
needed considering the Toppers ranked 118th nationally in total defense (478.3
ypg) and 119th in scoring (39.6 ppg) in 2009.
The line is anchored by end Jared Clendenin, who had 40 tackles in 2009. He
will look to become a better pass rusher for a defense that registered only 10
sacks in '09.
The most experienced part of the defense is the linebacking corps, and Thomas
Majors leads the way. Majors paced WKU with 101 stops last season and he will
be joined by Chris Bullard and converted safety Orlando Missalefua, who
combined for 91 stops a year ago.
The biggest area of concern is the secondary, where WKU brought in many new
faces to compete for playing time. Safety Mark Santoro is the most
recognizable returnee after ranking second on the team with 91 tackles last
season.
If the Huskers are going to build off last year's run, they will need more
from an offense that managed only 25.1 ppg and 322.8 total ypg in '09. With
that said, Nebraska has yet to announce a starting quarterback, though Pelini
doesn't seem to think that is a big deal.
"The team is going to rally around whoever is out there. They've been
practicing with all three guys and all three guys have gotten reps with the
first unit. It's kind of like any other position."
The three man race is between returning senior starter Zac Lee, sophomore Cody
Green and freshman Taylor Martinez. Lee, coming off elbow surgery, played with
the injury most of last season and struggled at times, throwing for 2,143
yards with 14 touchdowns against 10 picks. Green, meanwhile, passed for 317
yards and two touchdowns as the back to Lee and he also added 158 yards and
two more scores on the ground. As for Martinez, he caught the eye of everyone
with his speed and athleticism in the spring.
An offensive line that returns nearly intact should help whomever ends up
under center, as should the continued success of senior tailback Roy Helu Jr.,
who ran for 1,147 yards and 10 touchdowns despite being slowed by a shoulder
injury last season. Niles Paul also returns as the team's top target after
leading the way with 40 receptions and 796 receiving yards in '09.
Nebraska's defense was the cornerstone of the '09 team, as the unit
surrendered a mere 10.4 ppg to lead the nation. Replacing the nation's top
defensive lineman in Ndamukong Suh, however, will be no easy task and the
Huskers need to prove then can be successful without him.
"I think we have the potential to be really good on defense, but we're not
right now," stated Pelini. I think we're getting better. I think we're better
in some areas, I think there are other areas we need to work on."
While Suh may be gone, the line does still have a star performer in tackle
Jared Crick, who tallied 73 stops, 15 TFLs and 9.5 sacks last year. Crick has
All-American potential, but must prove he can be successful without Suh
garnering most of the attention.
The linebacking corps isn't as stacked as other positions, and sophomore Will
Compton will be counted on to emerge into more of a threat after registering
40 stops in '09.
The Huskers' secondary is deep and versatile and should benefit from the new
Peso defense, which uses a hybrid linebacker/safety position. Filling that
spot is senior Eric Hagg, who is a key performer that posted 40 stops and
seven TFLs last season.
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Betting the NFL preseason
Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."
When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules.
The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.
The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.
“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”
The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.
“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”
The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.
“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”
Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.
“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."
So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?
“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.
Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.
Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.
Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.
“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.
Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.
The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.
“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.
Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in
a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat
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6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
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