Kendrick guides Phils into wild card tie with win over Mets
Baseball Betting Lines
08/15/2010 -
Flushing, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kyle Kendrick pitched 6 2/3 strong innings,
allowing just one run, and the Philadelphia Phillies beat the New York Mets,
3-1, in a rain-soaked rubber match of a three-game set at Citi Field.
Kendrick (8-5) gave up six hits and walked just one batter while fanning four
for the Phillies, who have won 18 of their last 23 games to climb into a tie
atop the wild card standings with the San Francisco Giants, who lost earlier
Sunday. Philadelphia will start a three-game set with San Francisco on Tuesday
at Citizens Bank Park.
Shane Victorino went 3-for-5 with a stolen base, an RBI and a run scored for
the Phillies, while Jayson Werth ended with two hits and scored once. Brad
Lidge earned his 16th save.
Jose Reyes homered for the Mets' only run, and New York has now dropped 10 of
its last 13 series (2-10-1). The Mets fell to 10-19 since the All-Star break.
Mike Pelfrey (11-7), coming off an outing in which he shut out the Rockies for
seven innings, gave up three runs on seven hits in seven frames to take the
loss.
Jimmy Rollins used his legs to help the Phillies produce the game's first run
in the third.
Rollins, who came into the game with 25 consecutive successful stolen base
attempts -- the longest active streak in the majors, got on base with a two-
out bloop single to left. With Victorino at the plate, Rollins swiped both
second and third, and Victorino grounded an RBI double just inside the right
field line for a 1-0 lead.
The Mets answered quickly on Reyes' blast that hit the right field foul pole
leading off the home third, tying the score.
Philadelphia placed a runner at third with two outs in the fourth, but Luis
Castillo made a diving grab on Wilson Valdez's ground ball, preventing the go-
ahead run.
The Mets couldn't prevent the go-ahead run in the fifth, however, as the
Phillies used some more two-out hitting.
With two outs and nobody on, Victorino singled softly to center. He stole his
22nd base of the season with Placido Polanco at the plate, and Polanco
promptly sent a grounder up the middle to plate Victorino without a throw for
a 2-1 advantage.
The visitors struck for another run in the sixth. Werth led off with a triple,
he grounded a ball down the right field line that right fielder Angel Pagan
had a difficult time handling. Two batters later, Carlos Ruiz singled past the
drawn-in third baseman David Wright to easily plate Werth for a two-run edge.
Meanwhile, Kendrick settled down to dominate. Following Reyes' home run, he
allowed just two baserunners -- a fifth-inning bunt single by Castillo. He
exited after walking Castillo with two outs in the seventh with pinch-hitter
Jeff Francoeur coming up.
With Francoeur's career 9-for-22 mark against Kendrick, the Phillies opted for
Chad Durbin, who induced a deep fly out from Francoeur to preserve the 3-1
lead. Francoeur is now 0-for-15 against Durbin in his career.
Ryan Madson pitched a scoreless eighth, working around a two-out walk to David
Wright. He struck out Carlos Beltran to end the frame and bridge the gap to
Lidge, who set down the Mets in order in the ninth to lock up the win.
Game Notes
During the Phillies' strong 23-game run, their starting pitchers have an ERA
of 2.78...Philadelphia moved to 10-3 in August...The season series is tied,
6-6...Mets starters have a 1.44 ERA in their last eight games, but have gone
just 4-4 in that stretch...The Phillies have won six of their last seven road
games...Philadelphia is 44-11 when scoring first...Lidge is 16-for-16 in
career save opportunities against the Mets...New York is 0-46 when trailing
after eight innings, one of two major league teams without a win in that
category. The Cubs are the other.
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Sportsbooks to bet on football
Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.
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Bonds nearly hits HR 751, SF wins
4 and drove in
a pair of runs, and Barry Bonds nearly hit homer No. 751 as San Francisco beat
1, in the middle contest of three at AT&T Park.
6) allowed five hits and one run over 6 2/3 innings, fanning
eight and walking three.
game slide.
Bonds, who came within five homers of Hank Aaron's record on Friday, went
1 with three walks, an RBI double and scored twice. The double ...
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